Welcome back to a very special edition of the 2015 WFTDA Playoff Rankings. Today I am adding a new feature that should help assist you with your upcoming bout scheduling. I have added a column that shows what the difference is between my rankings (used via results posted on Flattrackstats.com and the released WFTDA Rankings) and the most recent WFTDA Rankings. While WFTDA uses a whole years worth of bouts, mine only includes those since July 1st. With that, you may not want to play a team that is ranked significantly higher in my rankings than their WFTDA ranking. In all likelihood this means that they have been playing much better since July 1st than they were prior to July 1st. If that is true, it means that you will not be getting a true bang for your buck while facing them. A quick example, Dallas is currently ranked 24th in my rankings after beating DC 293-108 and losing a close 190-160 against Houston in early August. Is Dallas really the 24th best team in the world right now, probably not. But they are a lot closer to the 24th ranking I show than the 63rd ranking that WFTDA currently has them at. This would be a bad time to play them until more of their bouts fall off.
On the flip side, now may be a great time to play DC. I have them ranked 64th this week, while WFTDA has them at 49th. For perspective, 49th has a current bout weight of 1.85, but 64th has a bout weight of 1.66. That could make for a huge difference. If you were to beat DC 175-125 at their current ranking it would earn your team 323.75 points, but beating them at 64th is only worth 290.50. That may not seem like much, but if you are close to making it to playoffs or in a battle for one of the important seeding positions every point can matter. For more in depth questions please feel free to reach out to me.
On to the rankings. No changes in the top 53 this week, but I fully expect that to change after this weekend. Remember, a positive number in the “Change From WFTDA” means a team may be under-ranked according to WFTDA and you may be leaving points on the table by playing them now, a negative number means that they may be over-ranked currently by WFTDA and this could be a good chance to go get some extra points.
|Rank||Team||Score||Weekly Change||Change from WFTDA|
As you can see a lot of teams near the bottom are not currently ranked in these positions by WFTDA. This isn’t that surprising as we are early in the season and there will be a lot of movement, especially when we are talking below teams with an average below 150 points as so many of them are just so close in averages. As the season goes along my rankings and WFTDA’s should be getting closer and closer so these will come down. But as some free advice, here are 5 teams I would not schedule now and 5 that may be looking like a good opportunity.
5 To Schedule (in order of Derby Math Rankings):
- #48 Demolition City
- #50 OK Victory
- #55 New Hampshire
- #64 DC
- #69 Blue Ridge
5 To Avoid:
- #23 Detroit
- #24 Dallas
- #35 Treasure Valley
- #37 Des Moines
- #52 Sac City
And in final news, Derby Math is actually getting recognized by the Google Search Engine. By entering the term “derbymath” I am now showing as the 5th returned website. That is very cool and thank you all very much for the continued support.