2015 WFTDA Playoff Rankings – Week 17

Welcome back to a very special edition of the 2015 WFTDA Playoff Rankings.  Today I am adding a new feature that should help assist you with your upcoming bout scheduling.  I have added a column that shows what the difference is between my rankings (used via results posted on Flattrackstats.com and the released WFTDA Rankings) and the most recent WFTDA Rankings.  While WFTDA uses a whole years worth of bouts, mine only includes those since July 1st.  With that, you may not want to play a team that is ranked significantly higher in my rankings than their WFTDA ranking.  In all likelihood this means that they have been playing much better since July 1st than they were prior to July 1st.  If that is true, it means that you will not be getting a true bang for your buck while facing them.  A quick example, Dallas is currently ranked 24th in my rankings after beating DC 293-108 and losing a close 190-160 against Houston in early August.  Is Dallas really the 24th best team in the world right now, probably not.  But they are a lot closer to the 24th ranking I show than the 63rd ranking that WFTDA currently has them at.  This would be a bad time to play them until more of their bouts fall off.

On the flip side, now may be a great time to play DC.  I have them ranked 64th this week, while WFTDA has them at 49th.  For perspective, 49th has a current bout weight of 1.85, but 64th has a bout weight of 1.66.  That could make for a huge difference.  If you were to beat DC 175-125 at their current ranking it would earn your team 323.75 points, but beating them at 64th is only worth 290.50.  That may not seem like much, but if you are close to making it to playoffs or in a battle for one of the important seeding positions every point can matter.  For more in depth questions please feel free to reach out to me.

On to the rankings.  No changes in the top 53 this week, but I fully expect that to change after this weekend.  Remember, a positive number in the “Change From WFTDA” means a team may be under-ranked according to WFTDA and you may be leaving points on the table by playing them now, a negative number means that they may be over-ranked currently by WFTDA and this could be a good chance to go get some extra points.

Rank Team Score Weekly Change Change from WFTDA
1 Gotham 698.90 0 0
2 Rose City 610.36 0 0
3 Bay Area 582.88 0 0
4 Windy City 508.54 0 8
5 Denver 497.93 0 3
6 Philly 490.68 0 4
7 Angel City 484.32 0 2
8 Texas 479.97 0 -3
9 Victoria 464.91 0 -5
10 Minnesota 463.52 0 -3
11 London 460.80 0 -5
12 Rocky Mtn 448.88 0 -1
13 Atlanta 444.47 0 0
14 Tampa 429.31 0 5
15 Jacksonville 428.62 0 0
16 Rat City 397.30 0 0
17 Montreal 384.15 0 0
18 Charm City 377.31 0 -4
19 Terminal City 370.90 0 -1
20 Arch Rival 363.41 0 1
21 Steel City 356.48 0 7
22 Madison 347.94 0 3
23 Detroit 338.25 0 16
24 Dallas 334.42 0 39
25 Ohio 329.53 0 -3
26 Boston 329.13 0 -2
27 Arizona 314.28 0 5
28 St. Chux 302.69 0 7
29 Toronto 291.98 0 -2
30 Jet City 291.85 0 8
31 Nashville 290.03 0 -2
32 Queen City 286.38 0 1
33 Santa Cruz 285.11 0 -10
34 Wasatch 284.81 0 -3
35 Treasure Valley 280.18 0 30
36 Naptown 278.40 0 -10
37 Des Moines 276.46 0 39
38 No Coast 275.48 0 -4
39 Houston 272.40 0 3
40 SoCal 271.84 0 3
41 Sin City 268.31 0 9
42 Rideau Valley 267.68 0 -6
43 Kansas City 266.99 0 4
44 Tri-City 266.90 0 0
45 Bear City 265.17 0 0
46 Chicago Outfit 260.07 0 0
47 Calgary 260.06 0 10
48 Demolition City 247.17 0 -11
49 Columbia 247.02 0 -9
50 OK Victory 244.65 0 -20
51 Omaha 241.90 0 11
52 Sac City 239.67 0 32
53 Suburbia 236.26 0 5
54 Charlottesville 235.88 5 25
55 New Hampshire 234.68 -1 -14
56 Sacred City 231.92 -1 -3
57 Brewcity 225.02 -1 -9
58 Boulder County 224.27 -1 1
59 Ithaca 221.14 -1 9
60 Charlotte 217.81 0 30
61 Tucson 215.96 0 0
62 Grand Raggidy 215.12 0 -8
63 Gold Coast 211.92 0 -11
64 DC 210.18 0 -15
65 Old Capitol 207.96 0 -9
66 Alamo City 203.64 0 28
67 Killamazoo 201.75 0 -12
68 Brandywine 198.70 0 -2
69 Blue Ridge 198.37 0 -18
70 Connecticut 195.20 0 31
71 Big Easy 187.75 1 -7
72 North Star 185.86 1 5
73 Garden State 184.57 1 18
74 Quad City 183.65 -3 11
75 Twin City 175.57 0 7
76 Cincinnati 172.72 0 20
77 South Bend 165.90 0 116
78 Rage City 163.95 0 10
79 Ann Arbor 161.37 0 21
80 Emerald City 157.39 1 13
81 San Fernando 156.58 1 35
82 Cape Fear 154.68 1 52
83 NEO 154.66 1 3
84 Carolina 148.40 -4 14
85 Green Mt 147.70 0 -15
86 Pikes Peak 147.59 0 6
87 Lansing 143.90 8 30
88 Cen-Tex 143.47 -1 85
89 Diamond Divas 143.35 -1 #N/A
90 Lowcountry 142.60 -1 30
91 Salisbury 141.90 -1 13
92 Richland County 141.84 -1 71
93 Cherry City 141.47 -1 66
94 Sioux City 139.02 -1 9
95 Vette City 138.12 -1 17
96 Long Island 134.13 *NEW* 73
97 West Texas 131.12 -1 97
98 Derby City 129.60 -1 33
99 Magnolia 129.42 -1 29
100 Tallahassee 128.72 -1 39

As you can see a lot of teams near the bottom are not currently ranked in these positions by WFTDA.  This isn’t that surprising as we are early in the season and there will be a lot of movement, especially when we are talking below teams with an average below 150 points as so many of them are just so close in averages.  As the season goes along my rankings and WFTDA’s should be getting closer and closer so these will come down.  But as some free advice, here are 5 teams I would not schedule now and 5 that may be looking like a good opportunity.

5 To Schedule (in order of Derby Math Rankings):

  1. #48 Demolition City
  2. #50 OK Victory
  3. #55 New Hampshire
  4. #64 DC
  5. #69 Blue Ridge

5 To Avoid:

  1. #23 Detroit
  2. #24 Dallas
  3. #35 Treasure Valley
  4. #37 Des Moines
  5. #52 Sac City

And in final news, Derby Math is actually getting recognized by the Google Search Engine.  By entering the term “derbymath” I am now showing as the 5th returned website.  That is very cool and thank you all very much for the continued support.

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3 comments

  1. I think that all teams in the middle playoff area, 20-60ish, need to find a good balance in differently ranked teams to play. It is not hard to get a D2 ranking by beating up teams between 70-90 all season. And this year we saw teams get a D1 ranking without playing another D1 team. Detroit is the perfect example this year of going too big with their schedule and it relegated them to D2, and counter to them Blue Ridge was too soft and got to D1 and blown away. Its finding whatever works best for your team. In a perfect world and I was developing a team, i would do a balance schedule that with a ratio of 2 teams +0 to 10 spots, 2 teams -0 to 10 spots, 1 team +11 to 20, 1 team -11 to 20. If done correctly you should earn the same number of WFTDA points in each bout. But this will also allow you to learn to exploit other teams weaknesses, while learning what yours really are.

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