Author: C-Rob

Updated Derby Math Rankings – Thru 3/27

Why hello there derby fans.  It has been a long time, this I am well aware, but I come to you today with good news and updated rankings.  The weather is warming, well at least the snow is gone here in Wisconsin (until tomorrow anyways), and the derby season is starting to get into high gear again.  I am also stoked to get my coaching on a bit again and help one of the Brewcity Home Teams go after a championship.  Its amazing how the thought of bench coaching gets the juices flowing again.  But enough about me, lets talk rankings.

I am putting forth a huge disclaimer for the 5 teams that have played Quebec (Muddy River, Capital City, Toronto, Tri-City, Royal City), you are currently under-ranked.  Whenever a new team gets brought into the WFTDA world I have a bit of a delay in getting their Weight correct, so you will be updated with the next release after the next WFTDA Rankings are released.

Other than that the rankings are beginning to show teams that are looking for big gains this year, and teams that are dropping off.  From some quick observations I have to say that it appears to me that Crime City is off to an incredibly strong start and a dark horse to make a run at a Top 12 finish this year.  On the other end Glasgow and Demolition City have both had incredibly tough openings to their 2016 season and it will be interesting to see if they can turn it around.

Derby Math Rank Team Score # of Bouts Average Opponent Ranking Average Points Scored Average Points Allowed
1 Gotham 945.19 7 10.57 281.71 94.57
2 Victoria 889.14 6 10.67 214.67 97.17
3 London 816.68 12 15.08 281.58 88.92
4 Rose City 776.80 8 10.50 227.63 147.63
5 Angel City 728.89 8 9.75 182.00 125.63
6 Texas 721.60 8 10.50 199.00 146.88
7 Bay Area 696.19 7 9.29 158.86 137.43
8 Jacksonville 685.68 7 9.43 181.14 164.14
9 Rat City 605.96 7 13.71 167.57 156.43
10 Denver 601.45 6 13.33 192.50 169.00
11 Arch Rival 599.67 7 14.00 184.43 149.00
12 Montreal 577.55 6 16.83 201.17 133.83
13 Philly 575.86 6 14.33 182.83 156.00
14 Minnesota 558.96 5 11.80 145.60 163.60
15 Rocky Mtn 522.54 4 22.00 201.00 195.50
16 Tampa 517.34 5 20.00 188.40 159.40
17 Dallas 515.53 8 31.88 217.88 121.00
18 Crime City 507.51 8 20.25 202.75 168.25
19 Boston 476.23 4 23.50 178.50 158.00
20 Terminal City 471.99 7 30.71 215.14 161.00
21 No Coast 468.11 6 38.83 244.67 149.83
22 Atlanta 457.56 5 8.20 110.20 199.40
23 Team United 446.14 8 26.75 180.38 160.25
24 Naptown 439.78 6 39.67 210.33 149.00
25 Stockholm 431.90 7 23.71 181.57 170.00
26 Columbia 415.64 7 47.00 182.57 122.29
27 Steel City 405.72 7 31.71 182.29 186.00
28 Ohio 400.75 8 36.38 196.88 182.13
29 Nashville 396.97 6 43.00 202.50 178.83
30 Madison 394.60 6 26.67 166.33 202.17
31 Sun State 392.45 5 28.40 155.20 202.00
32 Sacred City 387.95 9 45.67 196.89 173.33
33 Santa Cruz 387.56 8 46.50 170.88 142.38
34 Detroit 385.06 10 21.20 140.80 210.90
35 Queen City 378.35 7 39.00 216.86 234.43
36 Helsinki 374.59 8 24.00 187.63 227.50
37 Pikes Peak 371.55 3 25.33 169.67 223.67
38 Boulder County 365.29 4 47.00 182.50 192.50
39 Calgary 360.40 2 29.50 193.50 242.50
40 Houston 360.38 4 40.25 173.25 184.50
41 Jet City 358.79 7 51.14 188.57 160.14
42 Charlottesville 357.23 6 38.33 183.33 205.67
43 Wasatch 356.60 4 55.00 188.25 160.50
44 Bear City 350.75 4 49.25 204.25 198.50
45 Charm City 348.53 7 25.43 148.43 231.71
46 Chicago Outfit 348.02 6 57.33 195.67 140.67
47 Tucson 345.89 3 28.67 176.67 231.00
48 Grand Raggidy 345.76 5 78.80 252.60 129.40
49 Emerald City 335.56 4 57.25 200.00 181.75
50 Arizona 334.32 7 31.43 149.00 204.43
51 Sac City 332.32 5 48.60 172.60 184.40
52 Crossroads City 321.15 1 95.00 197.00 68.00
53 Kansas City 320.47 8 46.50 164.13 207.13
54 St. Chux 318.64 5 55.20 180.20 190.20
55 Brandywine 315.22 7 51.29 178.86 191.71
56 Cincinnati 304.07 1 76.00 233.00 167.00
57 Ft. Myers 297.91 3 120.00 267.33 47.33
58 Windy City 288.89 5 32.60 128.40 229.20
59 Rideau Valley 280.88 5 22.60 114.00 244.60
60 Tri-City 275.20 6 33.20 151.17 215.17
61 Ann Arbor 275.00 3 64.67 177.00 200.67
62 Toronto 273.08 9 39.50 154.44 211.44
63 Omaha 272.20 3 102.67 248.00 116.67
64 Demolition City 270.53 9 46.89 118.22 223.22
65 Brewcity 267.45 5 58.20 149.20 207.60
66 Carolina 263.82 3 95.00 220.33 128.33
67 OK Victory 257.58 8 87.63 212.88 147.50
68 Treasure Valley 253.24 3 52.67 117.00 196.67
69 Ithaca 250.80 3 72.67 193.67 201.00
70 Dupage 241.16 5 94.00 212.80 167.20
71 Killamazoo 235.99 8 96.13 201.13 174.75
72 Maine 235.70 2 108.00 240.00 157.50
73 Rainy City (UK) 228.27 1 93.00 160.00 147.00
74 NW Arkansas 227.78 3 121.00 315.00 69.00
75 Duke 226.01 1 95.00 192.00 175.00
76 Sydney 225.35 4 125.33 226.50 128.25
77 Garden State 214.58 2 118.00 183.50 104.00
78 Old Capitol 209.92 3 103.33 181.00 177.67
79 San Fernando 208.50 9 142.14 238.78 126.78
80 Winnipeg 207.62 3 148.33 290.00 108.33
81 Quebec 203.47 5 76.25 144.00 177.40
82 Glasgow 202.80 7 24.29 100.00 362.71
83 Oklahoma City 199.10 3 102.00 165.67 150.33
84 Granite State 196.91 2 112.00 200.00 180.50
85 Memphis 195.93 3 130.33 184.33 115.00
86 Paris 195.86 3 154.67 232.33 100.67
87 Ft. Wayne 194.61 4 106.50 160.25 160.25
88 Tiger Bay 191.79 2 94.50 139.50 173.00
89 Royal City 190.95 4 139.67 259.25 123.75
90 Burning River 190.44 2 75.00 116.00 202.50
91 Undead Bettys 190.15 4 120.67 239.75 166.75
92 Lehigh Valley 185.61 4 156.00 244.75 125.50
93 Cheyenne 185.22 3 157.00 255.67 131.33
94 Blue Ridge 183.46 2 45.00 88.50 256.50
95 ICT 182.96 5 142.00 199.40 142.60
96 Providence 182.41 1 81.00 142.00 234.00
97 Kallio 181.90 2 89.00 195.00 124.50
98 Gem City 181.61 5 151.20 214.00 136.80
99 Leeds 181.52 1 139.00 167.00 109.00
100 V Town 179.29 6 181.20 289.17 78.33

Top 50 Defensive Efficiency Bouts 2015-16 Season (So Far)

So a couple of weeks ago I presented the Top 50 Offensive Efficiency Bouts of 2015-16, with a little time on my hands tonight I present the Top 50 Defensive Efficiency Bouts of the season.  This may have a few surprises in it as no matter the rank it is always possible to hold a team to few enough points to make the list.  In fact, 16 of the bouts came against opponents not ranked in the Top 20 (WFTDA Rank at time of bout).  We even have a few teams on the list that didn’t qualify for playoffs this year.

8 of the Top 20 performances came from either London or Victoria.  That should not come as a surprise of anyone who watched the 3rd Place bout at Champs this year, in fact that bout ranked in the Top 16 FOR BOTH TEAMS.  On the other end, Helsinki was the first team to appear twice on the list as an opponent.  It is hard to really hold that as knock against them as the two teams they lost two were both had a win at Champs.

  1. Gotham 21 points allowed vs. Montreal (10/3)
  2. Rose City 25 points allowed vs. Crime City (9/11)
  3. Gotham 29 points allowed vs. Queen City (10/2)
  4. London 33 points allowed vs. Helsinki (7/11)
  5. Victoria 33 points allowed vs. Madison (9/4)
  6. Gotham 68 points allowed vs. Denver (8/1)
  7. London 42 points allowed vs. Steel City (9/18)
  8. Victoria 85 points allowed vs. Texas (11/7)
  9. Gotham 83 points allowed vs. Angel City (10/4)
  10. Ft. Myers 25 points allowed vs. Gold Coast (8/23)
  11. Victoria 99 points allowed vs. London (11/8)
  12. Angel City 58 points allowed vs. Helsinki (10/2)
  13. Angel City 83 points allowed vs. Minnesota (10/3)
  14. Victoria 143 points allowed vs. Gotham (11/7) – Loss
  15. Montreal 67 points allowed vs. Windy City (10/2)
  16. London 122 points allowed vs. Victoria (11/8) – Loss
  17. Rat City 73 points allowed vs. Stockholm (9/11)
  18. London 129 points allowed vs. Rose City (8/8)
  19. Jacksonville 71 points allowed vs. Detroit (9/18)
  20. Victoria 107 points allowed vs. Bay Area (9/6)
  21. London 88 points allowed vs. Atlanta (9/19)
  22. Texas 88 points allowed vs. Atlanta (8/1)
  23. Rat City 61 points allowed vs. Toronto (8/8)
  24. Texas 99 points allowed vs. Philly (9/12)
  25. Gotham 114 points allowed vs. Jacksonville (11/7)
  26. Angel City 101 points allowed vs. Rat City (11/6)
  27. Gotham 141 points allowed vs. Victoria (11/7)
  28. Bay Area 103 points allowed vs. Arch Rival (9/5)
  29. Arch Rival 76 points allowed vs. Des Moines United (9/4)
  30. London 126 points allowed vs. Angel City (11/7)
  31. Angel City 123 points allowed vs. Bay Area (8/15)
  32. Rose City 154 points allowed vs. London (11/7)
  33. Rose City 96 points allowed vs. Rat City (7/11)
  34. Jacksonville 112 points allowed vs. Arch Rival (8/8)
  35. Angel City 109 points allowed vs. Minnesota (7/18)
  36. Philly 88 points allowed vs. Charm City (8/8)
  37. Tampa 85 points allowed vs. Detroit (9/20)
  38. Bay Area 77 points allowed vs. Terminal City (9/4)
  39. Angel City 158 points allowed vs. London (11/7) – Loss
  40. No Coast 88 points allowed vs. Windy City (10/3)
  41. Denver 107 points allowed vs. Atlanta (9/20)
  42. London 166 points allowed vs. Rose City (11/7) – Loss
  43. Demolition City 65 points allowed vs. Treasure Valley (8/21)
  44. Texas 122 points allowed vs. Angel City (8/16)
  45. Rose City 195 points allowed vs. Gotham (11/8)
  46. Hard Knox 17 points allowed vs. R.O.C.K. (7/11)
  47. Bay Area 151 points allowed vs. Victoria (9/6) – Loss
  48. London 126 points allowed vs. Jacksonville (9/20)
  49. Angel City 205 points allowed vs. Gotham (10/4) – Loss
  50. Rat City 179 points allowed vs. Rose City (7/11) – Loss

As always feel free to contact me with any questions or if you’d like to see how a specific bout ranks out (they are all ranked so you just have to ask).  And if you are new be sure to follow me on Facebook or thru WordPress to get alerts when new posts are up.

Top 50 Offensive Efficiency Bouts 2015-16 Season (So Far)

With the new Offensive Efficiency Ranking I thought it would be fun to provide you with the Top 50 OE bouts so far.  As a quick reminder OE is based on total points scored and the opponents strength (WFTDA weight).  The usual suspects will be here and one thing you will notice is that there are very few super high (400+) point bouts.  With the formula in place there just were not a lot of those type of bouts that also carried enough opponent strength to make the list.  Case in point, Hard Knox (Knoxville, TN) put up 554 on R.O.C.K. (Lexington, KY) but will not make this list (in fact it is not even in the Top 150) due to the strength of R.O.C.K not being very high.

Some may surprise you, and it is important to remember that this isnt based on opinions but purely on math.  If you have any questions or bouts you think should have made the list, contact me I’d love to hear from you.  These are just for WFTDA sanctioned bouts (according to FTS) since 7/1/2015.

  1. Gotham 529 points vs. Queen City (10/2)
  2. Gotham 299 points vs. Jacksonville (11/7)
  3. Rose City 206 points vs. Gotham (11/8)
  4. Gotham 281 points vs. Denver (8/1)
  5. Texas 223 points vs. Rose City (9/13) – loss
  6. Angel City 434 points vs. Helsinki (10/2)
  7. Rose City 257 points vs. Texas (9/13)
  8. London 272 points vs. Jacksonville (9/20)
  9. Gotham 195 points vs. Rose City (11/8) – loss
  10. London 397 points vs. Helsinki (7/11)
  11. London 193 points vs. Rose City (8/8)
  12. London 408 points vs. Steel City (9/18)
  13. Rose City 406 points vs. Crime City (9/11)
  14. Victoria 289 points vs. Rocky Mtn. (9/5)
  15. Rocky Mtn. 324 points vs. Charm City (9/4)
  16. Victoria 404 points vs. Madison (9/4)
  17. Rose City 287 points vs. Rat City (9/12)
  18. Gotham 205 points vs. Angel City (10/4)
  19. Montreal 306 points vs. Charm City (7/18)
  20. Texas 349 points vs. Sun State (9/11)
  21. Victoria 141 points vs. Gotham (11/7) – loss
  22. Victoria 181 points vs. Texas (11/7)
  23. Rose City 166 points vs. London (11/7)
  24. No Coast 300 points vs. Windy City (10/3)
  25. Denver 379 points vs. Charlottesville (9/18)
  26. London 154 points vs. Rose City (11/7) – loss
  27. Minnesota 173 points vs. Texas (11/6) – loss
  28. Montreal 288 points vs. Windy City (10/2)
  29. Jacksonville 193 points vs. Denver (9/19)
  30. Gotham 259 points vs. Montreal (10/3)
  31. Rose City 191 points vs. Bay Area (11/7)
  32. Bay Area 179 points vs. Denver (11/6)
  33. Bay Area 145 points vs. Rose City (11/7) – loss
  34. No Coast 329 points vs. Queen City (10/3)
  35. Philly 266 points vs. Charm City (8/8)
  36. Arch Rival 261 points vs. Tampa (8/9)
  37. Texas 203 points vs. Philly (9/12)
  38. Texas 222 points vs. Atlanta (8/1)
  39. London 221 points vs. Atlanta (9/19)
  40. Denver 199 points vs. Philly (8/2)
  41. Gotham 143 points vs. Victoria (11/7)
  42. Jacksonville 262 points vs. Detroit (9/18)
  43. Arch Rival 224 points vs. Rocky Mtn. (9/6)
  44. Tampa 284 points vs. Glasgow (9/19)
  45. Jacksonville 193 points vs. Arch Rival (8/8)
  46. Terminal City 328 points vs. Tri-City (9/4)
  47. Philly 171 points vs. Denver (8/2) – loss
  48. Ohio 251 points vs. Windy City (8/29)
  49. Angel City 195 points vs. Minnesota (7/18)
  50. Jacksonville 114 points vs. Gotham (11/7) – loss

Halfway Rankings and NEW Offensive/Defensive Rankings

Hello again my friends, its been a long time.  Truth is, its been too long.  But don’t worry, I came back with something that I am sure you will find interesting.  As you read this you will see two charts, the traditional Derby Math Rankings thru the first 6 months of the WFTDA season and then a new chart in which I incorporate Offensive and Defensive Efficiency Rankings.

The good news is that the traditional Derby Math Rankings received a little face lift as well.  In addition to number of bouts and score from the past rankings, I have added average opponent ranking (at time of bout), average points scored, and average points allowed.  As with last year I will be following the WFTDA July-June season so all data is from bouts since July 1st, 2015 and teams will only be included in the rankings once they have played a bout during this period.

It is very interesting to see where we are at so far this year.  A couple key points with the top of the rankings, it is important to remember that Rose City has a bad loss (129-193) to London in early August and that is included in the rankings.  Also, Gotham had an incredible “Regionals” outscoring Angel City, Montreal and Queen City 1,054-133.

Other stats I found interesting and worthy of note.  Atlanta and Jacksonville currently hold the two toughest schedules so far for the 2015-16 season.  There are currently 6 teams ranked in the Top 100 that are averaging more points per bout than Gotham, but the highest ranked is Royal City at #74.  The V Town Derby Dames out of Visalia, CA  currently have the 4th best points scored average and the best points allowed average of Top 100 teams but are only ranked #88.

Derby Math Rank Team Score # of Bouts Average Opponent Ranking Average Points Scored Average Points Allowed
1 Gotham 945.19 7 10.57 281.71 94.57
2 Victoria 889.14 6 10.67 214.67 97.17
3 London 838.00 8 11.25 237.75 104.00
4 Rose City 776.80 8 10.50 227.63 147.63
5 Angel City 728.89 8 9.75 182.00 125.63
6 Texas 721.60 8 10.50 199.00 146.88
7 Bay Area 696.19 7 9.29 158.86 137.43
8 Jacksonville 666.53 6 8.67 172.83 176.33
9 Rat City 605.96 7 13.71 167.57 156.43
10 Denver 601.45 6 13.33 192.50 169.00
11 Arch Rival 599.67 7 14.00 184.43 149.00
12 Philly 575.86 6 14.33 182.83 156.00
13 Rocky Mtn 565.38 3 11.00 208.33 212.67
14 Minnesota 558.96 5 11.80 145.60 163.60
15 Montreal 556.26 5 12.60 180.60 152.60
16 Tampa 517.34 5 20.00 188.40 159.40
17 Boston 476.23 4 23.50 178.50 158.00
18 Dallas 472.78 5 26.60 184.60 151.80
19 Terminal City 471.99 7 30.71 215.14 161.00
20 Atlanta 468.30 4 8.50 115.00 191.50
21 No Coast 468.11 6 38.83 244.67 149.83
22 Team United 417.60 5 21.80 159.80 187.60
23 Detroit 407.07 6 22.33 153.50 192.50
24 Stockholm 403.04 4 28.50 172.75 164.50
25 Steel City 401.96 6 29.33 181.67 193.50
26 Ohio 397.39 7 33.57 190.14 188.29
27 Nashville 396.97 6 43.00 202.50 178.83
28 Crime City 395.83 4 19.25 144.75 211.00
29 Sacred City 392.48 5 47.20 210.80 173.60
30 Sun State 392.45 5 28.40 155.20 202.00
31 Madison 381.07 5 20.00 152.80 224.40
32 Demolition City 380.83 6 45.00 162.50 144.67
33 Naptown 379.55 4 45.00 187.00 171.75
34 Pikes Peak 371.55 3 25.33 169.67 223.67
35 Brandywine 367.51 4 53.75 211.75 176.75
36 Santa Cruz 364.24 4 54.25 173.00 139.00
37 Kansas City 361.74 6 45.33 183.00 181.00
38 Calgary 360.40 2 29.50 193.50 242.50
39 Houston 360.38 4 40.25 173.25 184.50
40 Charlottesville 357.23 6 38.33 183.33 205.67
41 Wasatch 356.60 4 55.00 188.25 160.50
42 Glasgow 355.26 3 30.67 168.67 207.00
43 Bear City 350.75 4 49.25 204.25 198.50
44 Charm City 348.53 7 25.43 148.43 231.71
45 Chicago Outfit 348.02 6 57.33 195.67 140.67
46 Arizona 344.88 4 30.25 162.25 210.50
47 Grand Raggidy 336.54 3 78.00 253.00 142.67
48 Emerald City 335.56 4 57.25 200.00 181.75
49 Sac City 332.32 5 48.60 172.60 184.40
50 Columbia 328.99 5 48.00 134.60 153.80
51 Boulder County 323.44 3 57.33 195.33 197.00
52 Jet City 320.27 4 54.00 159.50 174.50
53 Rideau Valley 319.09 4 24.50 132.50 229.75
54 St. Chux 318.64 5 55.20 180.20 190.20
55 Ft. Myers 314.05 2 109.00 266.00 52.00
56 Tri-City 313.82 3 25.67 145.33 261.67
57 Toronto 306.15 6 36.33 154.00 223.67
58 Helsinki 298.81 5 23.60 146.00 281.80
59 Windy City 288.89 5 32.60 128.40 229.20
60 Brewcity 280.97 4 62.00 163.75 201.00
61 Queen City 271.15 4 26.00 161.50 355.50
62 Carolina 268.68 2 113.00 260.50 84.00
63 Kallio 268.47 1 89.00 186.00 132.00
64 Ann Arbor 268.23 2 81.50 196.00 179.00
65 OK Victory 266.06 7 85.86 222.57 145.71
66 Treasure Valley 253.24 3 52.67 117.00 196.67
67 Ithaca 238.11 2 82.00 216.50 185.00
68 Sydney 225.35 4 125.33 226.50 128.25
69 Dupage 216.37 3 102.67 218.00 173.33
70 Killamazoo 215.43 4 111.00 218.00 178.00
71 Garden State 214.58 2 118.00 183.50 104.00
72 Roc City 211.34 1 121.00 254.00 139.00
73 Winnipeg 207.62 3 148.33 290.00 108.33
74 Royal City 206.78 2 160.50 344.50 105.00
75 Oklahoma City 199.10 3 102.00 165.67 150.33
76 San Fernando 193.78 4 157.00 247.50 105.25
77 Granite State 193.15 1 141.00 227.00 115.00
78 NEO 190.99 1 73.00 139.00 254.00
79 Red Stick 190.81 2 162.50 321.50 132.00
80 Lansing 190.56 3 146.67 265.33 134.00
81 Lehigh Valley 186.25 2 142.50 224.00 140.50
82 Blue Ridge 183.46 2 45.00 88.50 256.50
83 Leeds 181.52 1 139.00 167.00 109.00
84 Tragic City 177.87 3 152.00 292.67 71.67
85 Middlesbrough 176.97 1 139.00 210.00 146.00
86 Hard Knox 175.32 3 145.00 270.67 110.33
87 Salisbury 173.72 2 127.00 158.00 155.00
88 V Town 172.43 3 190.50 298.33 36.33
89 Memphis 171.81 2 139.00 183.00 127.00
90 Med City 168.22 1 168.00 221.00 114.00
91 Tiger Bay 168.11 1 101.00 132.00 186.00
92 Sioux City 166.19 2 146.00 215.50 185.00
93 Paris 163.72 1 139.00 179.00 149.00
94 Cape Fear 162.71 3 182.67 229.00 106.67
95 Dub City 157.83 4 199.00 263.00 111.00
96 Greensboro 154.92 2 98.00 121.50 195.50
97 MOKAN 154.52 1 198.00 171.00 78.00
98 Appalachian 151.13 4 153.75 183.25 156.25
99 New Jersey 149.92 1 226.00 386.00 62.00
100 Happy Valley 148.42 1 201.00 236.00 117.00

Now for the brand new Offensive and Defensive Efficiency Rankings.  As the world of sports gets more and more data driven I spent the last few months trying to find a new way to look at derby and provide teams with a bit of insight to themselves, and their opponents.  Taking a bit of inspiration from MLB and Sabermetrics I developed methods for determining a teams Offensive and Defensive Efficiency based on the points scored, points allowed, and opponents strength.

This really provides a bit further analysis to what a teams potential strengths and weaknesses are.  It also goes deeper than just looking at points, by taking into account the opponents strength I can tell you that if you score 100 points vs Texas your Offensive Efficiency will rank you higher than scoring 100 vs Santa Cruz.  What I really hope is that this will provide people with a different perspective on just how good a team is and allow for us to look for bout match-ups with a different eye.

Just some quick observations before you read thru the rankings.  Of the top 20 teams, Atlanta has by far the biggest spread between their Offensive and Defensive ranks.  Defensively they are much further along than their offense at this point and I would normally chalk that up to their opponents (Texas, Tampa, London, and Denver) but all of their opponents have higher or equal Offensive ranks than Defensive.  As I look all the way down at #55 I come across Ft. Myers who has used two very good wins against Gold Coast to really propel their Defensive rank all the way to #16.  With all data based rankings you will almost always find someone that is a little out of place, and with limited data sets (only 2 bouts so far for them) it is not that surprising.  Their 362-25 win in August will help them a lot, but I do not expect their future bout to allow them to sustain that rank.

Derby Math Rank Team Offensive Efficiency Rank Defensive Efficiency Rank
1 Gotham 1 1
2 Victoria 4 2
3 London 3 3
4 Rose City 2 6
5 Angel City 8 4
6 Texas 5 7
7 Bay Area 10 5
8 Jacksonville 7 9
9 Rat City 13 10
10 Denver 9 11
11 Arch Rival 11 12
12 Philly 12 14
13 Rocky Mtn 6 18
14 Minnesota 18 13
15 Montreal 14 8
16 Tampa 16 17
17 Boston 19 20
18 Dallas 20 19
19 Terminal City 17 23
20 Atlanta 28 15
21 No Coast 15 25
22 Team United 27 27
23 Detroit 29 26
24 Stockholm 33 24
25 Steel City 25 29
26 Ohio 22 38
27 Nashville 24 40
28 Crime City 36 22
29 Sacred City 23 41
30 Sun State 34 31
31 Madison 32 33
32 Demolition City 54 28
33 Naptown 38 36
34 Pikes Peak 26 49
35 Brandywine 31 51
36 Santa Cruz 56 30
37 Kansas City 41 45
38 Calgary 21 64
39 Houston 45 44
40 Charlottesville 35 37
41 Wasatch 48 39
42 Glasgow 37 42
43 Bear City 30 59
44 Charm City 42 43
45 Chicago Outfit 53 32
46 Arizona 43 46
47 Grand Raggidy 40 53
48 Emerald City 44 56
49 Sac City 50 52
50 Columbia 64 34
51 Boulder County 47 66
52 Jet City 58 50
53 Rideau Valley 55 48
54 St. Chux 51 61
55 Ft. Myers 57 16
56 Tri-City 46 67
57 Toronto 52 55
58 Helsinki 49 54
59 Windy City 59 58
60 Brewcity 60 68
61 Queen City 39 75
62 Carolina 66 35
63 Kallio 69 60
64 Ann Arbor 62 76
65 OK Victory 61 47
66 Treasure Valley 73 63
67 Ithaca 63 69
68 Sydney 74 87
69 Dupage 67 80
70 Killamazoo 70 88
71 Garden State 87 62
72 Roc City 71 89
73 Winnipeg 72 81
74 Royal City 65 84
75 Oklahoma City 83 70
76 San Fernando 86 117
77 Granite State 80 82
78 NEO 76 100
79 Red Stick 68 107
80 Lansing 75 83
81 Lehigh Valley 77 92
82 Blue Ridge 84 78
83 Leeds 107 79
84 Tragic City 82 57
85 Middlesbrough 85 102
86 Hard Knox 79 65
87 Salisbury 101 103
88 V Town 92 21
89 Memphis 100 90
90 Med City 91 95
91 Tiger Bay 99 98
92 Sioux City 81 108
93 Paris 98 105
94 Cape Fear 95 93
95 Dub City 89 96
96 Greensboro 114 91
97 MOKAN 142 74
98 Appalachian 110 118
99 New Jersey 78 77
100 Happy Valley 102 113

Sorry for being gone so long, but I hope you enjoy this new little wrinkle to the rankings and I hope to set up another blog in the near future with the Top 10 Offensive and Defensive performances so far this season.

Happy Holidays and Happy New Year to all.

C-Rob

The Streak!!!

November 6, 2010…Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 was still two weeks from arriving in theaters.  We had just started grooving to new hits like “Like a G6” and “Raise Your Glass.”  And Glee was still good, well maybe, it was just the start of the 2nd season.  The sporting world too had been having its moments.

Reggie Bush became the first player in history to forfeit the Heisman, Brett Favre was the starting QB for the Minnesota Vikings (Im from Wisconsin so you have no idea how much that still hurts), and Sebastian Vettel was about to become the youngest F1 champion ever.

But in the Derby world, this was the last time Gotham lost a WFTDA sanctioned bout. (*Note, all bout stats are provided by our good friends at Flattrackstats.com).  It was the semi-finals of the 2010 WFTDA Champs and the end result saw Gotham lose to eventual 2010 Champion Rocky Mountain Rollergirls 113-79.  They bounced right back the next day with a 162-51 win over Philly and it all began.  Gotham amassed 66 straight WFTDA wins over the next 5 years, with their only loss being a non-sanctioned bout against Your Mom in June of 2013.  To put some perspective on the sheer number of wins in a row, the current leader in consecutive wins (only 2015 playoff teams included) is Rose City at 6.  But now lets also look a lot deeper into this streak.

  • Consecutive Wins: 66
  • Number of Different Teams Defeated: 28
  • Most Played: Denver & Philly (8 each)
  • Most Points Scored: 624 vs. Long Island (4/21/12)
  • Fewest Points Scored: 140 vs. Oly (11/13/11)
  • Most Points Allowed: 173 vs. Texas (11/10/13)
  • Fewest Points Allowed: 8 vs. Carolina (9/28/12)
  • Largest Margin of Victory: 561 vs. Queen City (10/2/15)
  • Smallest Margin of Victory: 2 vs. Victoria (11/7/15)
  • Average Score: 284-82
  • Number of Times Score Margin was Less Than 50 Points: 7
  • Number of Times Score Margin was More Than 400 Points: 7

When done, The Streak lasted just over 5 full years and deserves a true place alongside some of the other greatest streaks in sports.  Just look how it compares (list is mostly US based but I threw a few others in there as well):

  • NCAA Basketball: UCLA Bruins (Men’s) 7 Consecutive Championships (1967-73), 88 Consecutive Wins (1971-74); Connecticut Huskies (Women’s) 90 Consecutive Wins
  • NBA Basketball: Boston Celtics 8 Consecutive Championships (1958-66)
  • Cycling: Lance Armstrong 7 Consecutive Tour de France (cheating or not that’s still crazy)
  • College Football: Oklahoma 47 Consecutive Wins (1953-57)
  • Soccer: AC Milan Unbeaten in 58 Consecutive Games (1991-93)
  • Formula 1: Michael Schumacher 5 Consecutive Championships (2000-04)
  • Tennis: Martina Navratilova 74 Consecutive Wins (1984)

Time will only tell just truly how great this streak was, but we all should agree that we witnessed something truly special.

Derby Math Update

I know it has been awhile, and here is a bit of an update to where I have been, where Im possibly going, and what you can expect from Derby Math.  So I am going to use this blog to just be very honest and get some things out there.

Sometimes I just really dont like Derby.  And I know that I have always been a bit of an outsider in the derby world (or at least have felt that way), but the reason I quit writing about derby is because I got to the point that I really just didn’t like it.  Now dont get me wrong, the sport itself I love.  Every little bit about the actual sport is amazing, but it is/was the things that come along with the sport that just really turned me off and needing to step away.  And so that is what I did.  The politics, the drama, whatever you want to call it just got to the point where Derby (and especially writing about Derby) just wasnt any fun anymore.  I work 45-50 hours a week(not including my weekend reading of legislative updates) in the health insurance industry as a financial analyst trying to assist companies with the extreme complexities of the US Health Care system and the ever changing rules/laws provided by the Affordable Care Act.  Derby is supposed to be fun, something I could be involved in that let me get away from things for a bit.  Now I’ll be the first to admit when I was coaching that I forgot about that a bit, but spending the beginning part of the 2014-15 year writing as Derby Math it came back.

But then as Derby Math really got going leading into the 2015 WFTDA Playoffs it all went away again.  Im not going to get into all the details, but I will state that when people of “power” think too highly of themselves it pushes other people away.  The fun got sucked out of Derby Math and honestly it started to feel like a job and well I already have one of those.  So I plugged away to get thru the end of the Rankings Year because I became just too invested at that point to stop.  I had to see if it would work.  All in all I would say that it did, and I had a huge number of followers (at least I thought it was a good amount based on the stats I was seeing).  For me it was exciting to see teams progress thru the year and it really brought a new twist to just how intense each weekend could be with rankings switching.

Now I can tell you I wont be doing weekly updates this year.  I still havent figure out exactly what my involvement in derby will even be.  I love my local Brewcity Bruisers and could see myself trying to get involved with them in someway again.  Im sure I will start doing something with Derby Math as well, not sure exactly what though.  Maybe I’ll get back to actual blogging and trying to be more thought provoking instead of just providing numbers.  Whatever it is I need Derby to be fun, not a job.

Finally, thank you to everyone who has kept in contact or reached out to me.  I may not have always been the best at responding but you all mean a lot to me.  Derby can be the most amazing and frustrating thing at the same time (competitive bouts are just amazing) and I hope I can find that fun again.  I’ll keep all of you posted on the developments of Derby Math and thank you all again for your support.
C-Rob

WFTDA Playoffs Announced – So does Derby Math Rankings work???

So here we are, did Derby Math Rankings actually work?  Could you accurately produce rankings on a weekly (or close to weekly) basis to show how teams are really setting up for the upcoming playoffs.  Im going to go with a big YES on that one.  My goal was to never be perfect, those who have been here thru the whole year know that my goal was to be close and give teams a good idea of what their rankings will be come playoffs.  I’ve discussed there will be a margin of error involved due to my methods, and it proved to be slightly higher than I anticipated from a WFTDA Score perspective, but I think you will see that not only was I able to come pretty close with just the Top 40 (which is easier due to the wide range between teams) but you will also see that I was able to be pretty close with most of the Top 100.  For those looking for a full breakdown of the playoffs check out the WFTDA website.

But for these purposes I am going to show you exactly how Derby Math did with the Top 100 as projected on July 1st.  (For ease purposes I am going to remove Oly from the projections and just move everyone up a spot.  And for the record, I had both Oly and SoCal’s rankings correct at the end of the year.)

As you will see below 24 of the 40 D1 teams rankings were perfect and the other 16 were only off by one placing.  That isnt too shabby.  Better yet is that I correctly picked the correct seed for 31 of the 40 teams.  Again that shows just how good the rankings were at being able to give a good idea (again not perfect) of where a team will end up.

D2 was a little harder as there are half as many teams, but I still accurately picked 10 of the 20 seeds correctly.  There were a couple of bigger misses as Santa Cruz, Sacred City, Emerald City and Chicago Outfit all came in at 2 away from their projections.  With the incredibly tight race that happened at the top of D2 this year that wasnt that unexpected.

And then going down the rest of the Top 100 you will see that a majority of the teams were pretty close to their projections, with the biggest exceptions being teams that played unranked teams right at the end of the season.  Without being able to see an initial ranking (or knowing the WFTDA Strength Factor Challenge score) it was a bit hard to get them down just right.

I’m not going to make a huge post tonight as I know you all are incredibly excited for the actual playoffs coming up, but just remember for 2016 that Derby Math can help you get a good projection of where in the overall playoff spectrum your team may fall.

WFTDA Rank Team Derby Math Rank Change in Rank Change in Playoff Seed
1 Gotham 1 0 0
2 Rose City 2 0 0
3 Victoria 3 0 0
4 London 4 0 0
5 Denver 5 0 0
6 Bay Area 6 0 0
7 Texas 7 0 0
8 Angel City 9 +1 +1
9 Jacksonville 8 -1 -1
10 Philly 11 +1 0
11 Arch Rival 10 -1 0
12 Minnesota 12 0 0
13 Atlanta 13 0 0
14 Rocky Mtn 14 0 0
15 Rat City 15 0 0
16 Montreal 17 +1 +1
17 Stockholm 16 -1 -1
18 Tampa 18 0 0
19 Charm City 19 0 0
20 Windy City 21 +1 +1
21 Detroit 20 -1 -1
22 Team United 22 0 0
23 Boston 23 0 0
24 Dallas 24 0 0
25 Helsinki 25 0 0
26 Glasgow 26 0 0
27 Terminal City 28 +1 0
28 Sun State 27 -1 0
29 Steel City 29 0 0
30 Crime City 30 0 0
31 Arizona 31 0 0
32 Toronto 33 +1 +1
33 Queen City 32 -1 -1
34 Ohio 34 0 0
35 Madison 35 0 0
36 Pikes Peak 36 0 0
37 Oly 37 0 N/A
38 Charlottesville 39 +1 0
39 No Coast 38 -1 0
40 Tri-City 41 +1 0
41 Rideau Valley 42 +1 +1
42 Santa Cruz 46 +4 +2
43 Nashville 44 +1 +1
44 Sacred City 40 -4 -2
45 Kansas City 45 0 0
46 Columbia 47 +1 0
47 Emerald City 43 -4 -2
48 Naptown 51 +3 +1
49 Treasure Valley 49 0 0
50 Demolition City 50 0 0
51 Wasatch 52 +1 +1
52 Chicago Outfit 48 -4 -2
53 Houston 53 0 0
54 St. Chux 55 +1 0
55 Boulder County 56 +1 +1
56 Sac City 54 -2 -1
57 Jet City 57 0 0
58 OK Victory 58 0 0
59 SoCal 59 0 N/A
60 Brewcity 60 0 0
61 Bear City 63 +2 +1
62 Brandywine 61 -1 0
63 Auld Reekie 67 +4 N/A
64 Ann Arbor 62 -2 -1
65 Calgary 64 -1 N/A
66 Paradise City 78 +12 N/A
67 Sin City 65 -2 N/A
68 Tucson 66 -2 N/A
69 Blue Ridge 70 +1 N/A
70 Des Moines 71 +1 N/A
71 Cincinnati 68 -3 N/A
72 Carolina 76 +4 N/A
73 Roc City 69 -4 N/A
74 Burning River 73 -1 N/A
75 North Star 72 -3 N/A
76 Green Mt. 75 -1 N/A
77 Ft. Wayne 74 -3 N/A
78 DC 80 +2 N/A
79 Omaha 77 -2 N/A
80 Ithaca 79 -1 N/A
81 Grand Raggidy 82 +1 N/A
82 Killamazoo 81 -1 N/A
83 Maine 84 +1 N/A
84 Sioux City 86 +2 N/A
85 Suburbia 87 +2 N/A
86 Big Easy 88 +2 N/A
87 Pirate City 85 -2 N/A
88 Old Capitol 83 -5 N/A
89 Tiger Bay 90 1 N/A
90 Twin City 89 -1 N/A
91 Providence 91 0 N/A
92 Gold Coast 101 +9 N/A
93 NW Arkansas 92 -1 N/A
94 Dupage 93 -1 N/A
95 Memphis 95 0 N/A
96 Diamond Divas 103 +7 N/A
97 Charlotte 97 0 N/A
98 Lansing 102 +4 N/A
99 Garden State 100 +1 N/A
100 Sydney 137 +37 N/A

2015 Predictions Revisited

So tonight is a good opportunity to take a look back at the first half of 2015 and see how my beginning of the year predictions are playing out.  Below I will re-post my predictions from January and follow them up with little updates.

1.  WFTDA’s 2015 Playoffs will be the last in this current format.  This is one that I have felt for a long time.  After watching all Top 12 seeds advance to Championships this year and seeing that the Non-US presence of top teams is leading to some teams having to make 2 Trans-Atlantic/Trans-Pacific trips in such a short period is eventually going to make this format incredibly difficult and costly.  With costs becoming more and more of an issue (some would argue it has always been an issue and is just getting more publicity now) I just do not see a system that requires teams to make multiple playoff trips in short order lasting very long. — It looks like I will be wrong on this one, but to my knowledge they havent announced the 2016 Playoffs yet so there may be time for a change.  At least I know that WFTDA is taking a close look at the travel costs.

2.  There will be a lot of suggesting/complaining that WFTDA should hold a part of their 2016 Playoffs outside of North America, but it wont happen.  I thought WFTDA did a very good job with WET this year and there is definitely a very good place for non-North American teams.  But as I mentioned a little above, financially it makes more sense to have one or two teams make the trip to North America vs having 8-9 teams traveling overseas.  Out of my current Top 62 (my rankings, not WFTDA’s) only 6 are based outside of North America.  If WFTDA did something where they broke things down and rankings used in January or something were used I could see it as a possibility, but right now I feel many teams would decline such an invitation due to the costs.  — Again still not announced, but I completely stand by my early statement.  The only change is that now there are more than 6 non-North America teams in the Top 60, but this will all come down to do make more teams travel across the ponds.

3.  WFTDA is going to make a major announcement regarding safety.  This one is really nothing more than a gut reaction.  Right now I would lean towards something related to concussions and standardizing some things around them, but again this is nothing more than a gut feeling.  — This one is a kind of correct.  You could view the Officials not equipment checking as being safety related, but I still feel there is something bigger coming.

4.  Gotham will lose a bout, and the world won’t end.  Not knowing Gotham’s schedule makes this a bit harder to predict, but I think between some retirements and teams getting closer to them this is the year it happens.  They are still one of the top teams, see #5, but I believe that as we saw last year there are teams right there with them.  — Yeah I could be very wrong on this one.  But Rose City is looking incredibly good.

5.  The four #1 seeds will be Gotham, Bay Area, Rose City, and Denver.  Not going out on a huge limb here, but I do believe there are at least 3 teams that will vie for that 4th #1 seed.  Denver, Texas and Victoria will all have a good say in who it is and it will really come down to the teams the schedule, but I just think Denver will get the spot.  — Only got half right here.  Bay Area fell a bit more than I thought and London really performed a lot better.

6.  Three teams will get to play at home during the 2015 WFTDA Playoffs.  I actually feel pretty comfortable with this one.  I dont think Burning River makes the playoffs this year so they are out.  Detroit will be D1 so they wont play at home either.  Tucson and Omaha may make D2 playoffs, but I just dont see them getting all the way up to D1. That leads Jacksonville, which is pretty easy, and Dallas for D1 playoffs.  I fully expect Dallas to not only make it back to playoffs this year, but skip D2 and go directly to D1.  And finally Minnesota will make Champs and play in front of their home crowd.  So there are the three teams.  — Looks like I will be safe for the first part, then it is just up to Minnesota if they can make it to Champs.

7.  At least 10 of the 12 D1 Champs teams will return this year.  I may be going out on a limb a bit, but I think we will see at most 2 new teams.  If I had to pick them, Im going with Jacksonville and Montreal as the 2 new teams.  — This one is still yet to be seen but Jacksonville looks like a very good bet, but it might be Arch Rival sneaking in instead of Montreal.

8.  After seeing 6 teams score 600 or more points in a WFTDA sanctioned bout in 2014, no teams will reach that number in a single bout in 2015.  This is almost just as much a wish as it is a prediction.  There are no winners in a score like this and the WFTDA points awarded to each team is almost never worth it to either team.  As teams get better and knowing competition level this will hopefully be a thing of the past.  — I was so close on this one.  Only 1 bout so far saw a team score 600 points, that was the June 13th bout with Leeds (669) vs. Vette City (79)

9.  More teams will drive to D2 Playoffs than fly this year.  D2 has been dominated by teams in the Midwest as of late and I dont see that changing much this year.  Plus WFTDA did a great job of picking 2 cities that are very centrally located based on the likely teams to participate in these playoffs.  — This is still looking like a decent prediction as about half the teams are from the Midwest US.  I will be judging this if a team is located with a 10hr drive of their playoff location.

10.  Brewcity Home Season – The Crazy 8’s will lose a bout this year.  With a 9-bout win streak, over 2 seasons, currently going I am going out on a limb and saying they lose one this year.  Last year most of the bouts were not very close, but as Maiden Milwaukee showed in the championship bout (it went into OT for those not familiar with BCB) they can be beat.  The season starts January 17th and if you are in the area please come and check it out.  — This happened in the semi-finals as the Crazy 8’s were upset by the Rushin’ Rollettes, who then went on to win their first championship in 5 years.

Final 2014-15 DerbyMath Rankings & Playoff Projections

292 Teams, 1,120 Bout.  Its been a heck of a year.  Now Im sure there were probably a missed bout here or there due to using a manually run FlatTrackStats.com, but it really has all come down to this.  We will have to wait and see but I think a good chunk of my playoff projections are safe.  As I had mentioned in the past I am projecting a margin of error of 4-6 points, but after WFTDA’s latest blog I am actually thinking that may be a bit high and the margin may be closer to 3-4.  As an analyst who spends all day in numbers that is a huge difference.  But I know none of you are here to read about that, lets see how the Seeds are shaping up for the 2015 Playoffs.

All of the D1 #1 Seeds listed I feel are safe.  Denver made a good effort this past weekend to get up there, but I see them solidly as a #2 Seed.  The #2 Seeds get a little interesting as Denver, Bay Area and Texas all are very secure, but the last D2 spot is within the margin of error and could be either Jacksonville or Angel City.  It shouldn’t matter which order they are in as they will likely play each other for a spot at Champs either way.  The rest of the #3 Seeds look safe, as do the #4 Seeds.

The next real spot up in the air is the final #5 Seed as Detroit’s lead over Windy City is within the margin of error.  And there still is the case of Sun State that I mentioned last week as they are a true wild card and could end up anywhere from a 5-9 seed depending on the Weight given to a couple of their bouts this past month against new teams.  The #6 Seeds look safe and that is a very impressive year for Dallas after missing Playoffs last year.

The #7-#10 Seeds look great and I predict that some of those first round bouts will be the bouts of the Playoffs.  Those teams look very evenly matched and I can’t wait to watch them.  The real question is who is going to be #40.  Im predicting Sacred City will take the spot, but you will see that Tri-City is very much in the margin of error.  But I do believe that Sacred CIty will truly get that final D1 spot.  Of course all of this assumes Oly participates this year.

On the D2 side of things, it looks like we are in for two amazing Playoffs again.  There really isnt that one team this year that is just so much better than the rest.  The top team in D2 in my rankings is Tri-City who just lost to Chicago Outfit and beat Brewcity.  But yet in May Brewcity beat Chicago Outfit.  As of right now those are a #1, #4 and #10 Seed.  If anyone tells you who is going to win D2 this year they are lying, or have some secret people in Vegas doing things we dont talk about.

And again it all comes down to who is in, and who is out.  SoCal, as has been mentioned, has not reported any bouts to FTS and will not be participating so that moves Brandywine into the final spot.  Ann Arbor, Bear City and Calgary all played this past weekend with hopes of moving up to that final spot, but none got all the way there.  That being said, Brewcity, Brandywine, Ann Arbor, Bear City, and Calgary (barely) are all within the margin of error.  If Oly participates only 2 of those two teams are in and the other three will have to wait until next season.

So where does Derby Math go from here?  Well Im going to get started on the 2015-16 spreadsheets as those bouts will be starting up soon.  I’ll provide some insight and predictions for each of the playoffs similar to last year when I was still using the Weebly site.  I also think I will do a 2015 Predictions mid-year report pretty soon.  But really it is a huge wait and see on if what I did worked.  I really hope it does, and if so it can be a great tool for teams to help themselves with where they want to end up (the average opponent rankings has already gained some very good discussions).

Rank Team Score # of Bouts Change from last rankings Average Opponent Rank
Current D1 #1 Seeds
1 Gotham 810.97 12 0 11.25
2 Rose City 743.09 16 0 10.69
3 Victoria 647.62 9 0 9.56
4 London 618.24 12 0 11.67
Current D1 #2 Seeds
5 Denver 601.79 19 2 11.84
6 Bay Area 599.29 16 -1 12.63
7 Texas 595.15 13 -1 12.00
8 Jacksonville 551.60 13 0 27.62
Current D1 #3 Seeds
9 Angel City 550.43 14 0 13.79
10 Arch Rival 535.89 16 0 26.73
11 Philly 530.17 11 0 9.45
12 Minnesota 511.13 15 0 12.73
Current D1 #4 Seeds
13 Atlanta 488.12 14 0 12.71
14 Rocky Mtn 465.86 15 0 11.87
15 Rat City 449.94 12 0 22.08
16 Stockholm 444.69 6 0 36.50
Current D1 #5 Seeds
17 Montreal 433.41 16 0 30.19
18 Tampa 420.08 14 0 30.64
19 Charm City 410.42 13 0 22.85
20 Detroit 404.48 20 0 41.65
Current D1 #6 Seeds
21 Windy City 403.14 14 0 16.50
22 Team United 395.59 4 0 39.75
23 Boston 383.52 15 0 27.40
24 Dallas 380.34 13 0 48.54
Current D1 #7 Seeds
25 Helsinki 374.88 9 0 36.67
26 Glasgow 367.47 4 0 60.25
27 Sun State 360.55 5 0 93.67
28 Terminal City 356.67 17 0 23.24
Current D1 #8 Seeds
29 Steel City 356.46 18 0 34.94
30 Crime City 346.72 5 0 79.75
31 Arizona 340.80 17 0 31.47
32 Queen City 336.43 12 0 56.25
Current D1 #9 Seeds
33 Toronto 334.28 15 0 29.53
34 Ohio 331.65 21 0 38.14
35 Madison 330.12 11 0 23.91
36 Pikes Peak 329.32 6 0 80.50
Current D1 #10 Seeds
37 Oly 327.44 3 0 74.00
38 No Coast 325.24 12 0 32.64
39 Charlottesville 323.12 10 0 71.90
40 Sacred City 314.88 11 0 65.91
Current D2 #1 & #2 Seeds
41 Tri-City 312.99 14 0 48.79
42 Rideau Valley 310.56 14 0 51.64
43 Emerald City 310.54 9 0 91.11
44 Nashville 308.61 18 3 40.44
Current D2 #3 & #4 Seeds
45 Kansas City 307.71 14 0 37.79
46 Santa Cruz 307.31 11 0 30.27
47 Columbia 305.59 11 -3 44.64
48 Chicago Outfit 299.68 18 0 54.39
Current D2 #5 & #6 Seeds
49 Treasure Valley 297.60 15 0 63.80
50 Demolition City 297.22 13 0 41.15
51 Naptown 294.40 15 0 32.53
52 Wasatch 292.65 11 0 31.73
Current D2 #7 & #8 Seeds
53 Houston 291.77 20 0 44.74
54 Sac City 289.45 9 0 75.44
55 St. Chux 289.28 12 0 46.92
56 Boulder County 287.81 10 0 68.30
Current D2 #9 & #10 Seeds
57 Jet City 277.28 8 0 37.00
58 OK Victory 276.15 10 0 46.50
59 SoCal 271.84 3 0 26.67
60 Brewcity 271.41 19 0 55.84
61 Brandywine 270.99 14 0 61.50
Outside Looking In
62 Ann Arbor 269.78 19 2 89.16
63 Bear City 269.36 14 0 56.86
64 Calgary 266.72 16 -2 60.31
65 Sin City 264.88 11 0 57.45
66 Tucson 255.67 9 0 69.22
67 Auld Reekie 250.70 5 6 62.80
68 Cincinnati 237.58 11 0 68.09
69 Roc City 236.41 9 -2 61.78
70 Blue Ridge 235.10 12 -1 53.92
71 Des Moines 233.18 2 0 92.50
72 North Star 232.94 14 2 77.00
73 Burning River 232.20 12 -3 106.58
74 Ft. Wayne 230.34 11 -2 57.09
75 Green Mt 228.68 12 0 68.09
76 Carolina 226.43 12 0 84.91
77 Omaha 223.93 10 0 65.60
78 Paradise City 223.93 4 0 26.50
79 Ithaca 221.64 10 1 81.80
80 DC 219.78 17 -1 63.76
81 Killamazoo 218.70 19 3 58.47
82 Grand Raggidy 218.52 15 -1 72.00
83 Old Capitol 216.45 12 -1 62.82
84 Maine 215.81 4 -1 74.00
85 Pirate City 211.01 3 0 94.33
86 Sioux City 210.73 6 2 110.00
87 Suburbia 210.63 15 -1 65.13
88 Big Easy 210.24 10 -1 57.40
89 Twin City 198.89 14 0 76.38
90 Tiger Bay 197.98 6 0 74.17
91 Providence 192.59 10 0 75.80
92 NW Arkansas 190.75 7 1 68.13
93 Dupage 187.33 7 11 135.86
94 Muddy River 185.58 7 0 130.80
95 Memphis 185.55 4 -3 142.75
96 Ft. Myers 185.41 11 -1 91.30
97 Charlotte 184.48 10 0 83.90
98 Fargo 181.95 7 0 136.00
99 Rage City 178.97 9 0 130.57
100 Garden State 178.31 6 0 92.17
101 Gold Coast 177.75 13 0 58.58
102 Lansing 175.22 13 0 98.17
103 Diamond Divas 173.05 7 -7 130.00
104 Junction City 173.01 12 -1 85.40
105 Winnipeg 171.11 7 0 144.60
106 Kallio 169.79 10 0 132.33
107 Nidaros 168.04 8 0 139.00
108 Rainy City (UK) 167.74 14 0 134.91
109 Salisbury 167.00 10 0 133.89
110 Greensboro 163.56 8 0 122.14
111 Shasta 163.19 8 0 136.83
112 Royal City 163.11 6 0 144.40
113 ICT 158.67 12 7 136.20
114 Cherry City 157.01 7 -1 133.50
115 Derby City 155.95 5 -1 169.80
116 San Fernando 154.92 13 -1 133.11
117 Lowcountry 154.14 8 -1 139.88
118 Oklahoma City 149.98 9 -1 162.25
119 Mid-State 146.74 5 -1 161.67
120 Lava City 146.73 9 -1 158.29
121 Leeds 143.94 8 0 150.00
122 Cape Fear 143.68 10 0 147.80
123 North Texas 143.62 8 0 157.14
124 NEO 141.29 9 1 89.56
125 Central NY 140.37 7 1 166.00
126 Connecticut 140.26 11 3 129.55
127 Assault City 139.25 3 27 102.50
128 Canberra 138.73 6 -1 121.50
129 Cornfed 138.55 4 -5 177.50
130 Gem City 138.43 6 0 174.00
131 V Town 137.65 9 0 160.67
132 Hard Knox 137.57 6 6 141.17
133 Granite State 136.65 7 -1 154.00
134 Rainier 135.80 8 -1 140.86
135 Dublin 135.49 5 -1 150.00
136 Red Stick 133.84 8 0 137.50
137 Sydney 133.15 5 0 115.00
138 Middlesbrough 132.68 8 1 161.83
139 Gent 131.88 7 1 149.67
140 Paris 131.59 9 2 158.00
141 Ark River 130.85 5 49 164.40
142 Dutchland 130.04 9 -7 114.22
143 Dark River 129.47 2 0 200.00
144 Forest City 129.01 9 0 148.43
145 Long Island 127.61 4 0 177.25
146 Quad City 127.35 11 -18 101.30
147 Crossroads City 127.15 7 -1 130.00
148 Rock N Roller 126.51 4 NEW 143.67
149 Humboldt 126.26 2 NEW 93.00
150 Central City 125.67 6 1 147.80
151 Duke 125.57 11 -4 130.33
152 Classic City 125.54 7 -4 168.00
153 Acadiana 124.74 3 -4 122.00
154 Mississippi 124.71 5 -4 162.60
155 Harbor City 121.83 9 -3 138.38
156 New Hampshire 121.51 9 -15 55.78
157 Fox Cities 120.38 7 -4 148.33
158 Royal Windsor 119.69 3 -3 131.50
159 Happy Valley 119.31 9 -3 153.67
160 Lehigh Valley 119.26 7 -3 126.57
161 Dub City 119.05 4 -3 146.00
162 Cheyenne 119.01 7 -3 153.67
163 Pueblo 118.90 8 3 152.67
164 Richter City 118.10 3 NEW 114.00
165 MOKAN 117.67 15 5 151.25
166 Chattanooga 117.49 6 -6 158.17
167 FoCo 117.45 10 -6 164.00
168 Ventura 117.33 10 -6 156.11
169 Tragic City 116.82 10 -6 160.60
170 Richland County 116.75 5 -5 140.50
171 Cedar Rapids 116.38 7 -4 159.67
172 Durango 116.30 8 -4 135.80
173 Snake Pit 115.54 7 -4 171.00
174 Tallahassee 115.24 6 -3 94.75
175 Monterey Bay 114.04 6 -11 167.00
176 Sick Town 114.03 1 -3 N/A
177 Cen-Tex 112.92 8 -3 156.00
178 580 112.17 7 NEW 181.33
179 Ark Valley 111.01 4 -7 166.67
180 Central Arkansas 110.69 3 -5 200.00
181 Babe City 109.95 3 -5 127.67
182 Bleeding Heartland 109.32 6 -4 118.50
183 Bay State 109.25 6 8 191.33
184 New Jersey 108.99 4 -5 193.50
185 Fairbanks 108.81 1 -5 N/A
186 Black Rose 108.58 8 -5 141.38
187 Southern Illinois 108.07 5 -5 188.50
188 Hammer City 108.04 8 -3 116.88
189 Hellions 107.63 5 -6 157.50
190 Worchester 107.25 8 -6 200.17
191 Perth 106.94 3 -5 93.00
192 Hartford 106.74 5 -15 142.75
193 Magnolia 106.45 8 -6 194.71
194 Sonoma 105.74 8 -6 167.29
195 Shore Points 104.90 7 -6 211.00
196 Roller Radicals 104.13 1 NEW N/A
197 Dominion 103.35 5 -5 173.50
198 Alamo City 102.97 10 -5 132.78
199 Nottingham 102.43 5 -4 147.33
200 Newcastle 102.36 4 -4 148.50
201 West Coast KOs 101.84 8 -4 169.25
202 Bakersfield 101.37 14 -2 168.45
203 Bellingham 100.65 5 -5 131.00
204 Belfast 100.34 1 NEW N/A
205 Stuttgart Valley 98.25 9 -1 176.83
206 Chippewa Valley 97.83 3 -4 144.00
207 Amsterdam 96.24 4 -8 192.00
208 Mother State 95.99 6 -3 151.33
209 Rock Coast 95.98 10 -3 157.00
210 Nantes 95.80 9 -16 184.20
211 Oslo 94.89 5 -3 162.00
212 Springfield 94.78 6 -5 192.50
213 Dockyard 91.43 2 NEW 136.50
214 Jersey Shore 91.33 8 -5 199.00
215 Albany 91.04 8 -12 161.80
216 Appalachian 89.96 5 -6 153.50
217 Border City 89.27 6 -6 142.75
218 Five 40 89.11 4 -6 201.00
219 Cedar Valley 86.37 9 -6 180.50
220 Port City 84.98 2 5 214.00
221 Little Steel 84.48 8 -7 158.17
222 Silicon Valley 84.21 4 -7 124.50
223 Kokeshi 84.09 3 NEW 217.00
224 Antwerp 83.73 4 30 202.00
225 CoMo 83.02 5 -9 162.25
226 Paper Valley 82.49 1 -9 59.00
227 Metz 82.25 2 -8 164.50
228 Copenhagen 80.75 6 -8 163.50
229 Juneau 80.69 2 -8 187.00
230 West Texas 80.51 7 -8 169.80
231 Soul City 80.34 2 -8 123.00
232 Central Coast 79.71 6 -8 180.20
233 Pensacola 77.44 3 -7 159.50
234 Lincolnshire 77.40 1 -7 N/A
235 South Sea 77.23 4 -7 N/A
236 A’Salt Creek 77.08 5 -7 174.20
237 Heavenly Rollers 76.98 2 NEW 100.50
238 Devil Dog 76.74 6 -8 209.00
239 Rockin Rollers 76.61 5 -38 170.50
240 Castle Rock 76.53 5 -9 151.50
241 Cajun 76.40 4 -9 161.00
242 Dixie 76.35 7 -9 150.33
243 Mason-Dixon 76.13 7 -9 149.86
244 Glass City 76.05 4 -9 180.00
245 Vette City 75.98 9 -9 148.63
246 Diamond State 75.96 5 -9 164.40
247 Slaughterhouse 75.59 6 -9 158.50
248 ROCK 75.50 2 -9 196.00
249 Little City 74.85 4 -31 144.67
250 Savannah 74.79 6 -10 198.33
251 Molly Roger 74.78 1 -10 N/A
252 Sioux Falls 73.82 5 -10 137.25
253 Enid 73.77 9 -10 170.17
254 Sheffield 72.60 1 -9 N/A
255 Confluence 71.80 7 -9 175.17
256 Harrisburg 71.37 3 -9 N/A
257 Circle City 71.20 7 -13 148.14
258 Hudson Valley 70.20 5 -10 152.20
259 Roughneck 69.56 7 -10 167.67
260 South Bend 69.46 2 NEW 153.00
261 Tokyo 67.59 2 NEW N/A
262 Battle Creek 67.45 2 NEW 133.00
263 Paradise 65.56 4 -13 203.00
264 GTARollergirls 65.09 4 -13 170.00
265 Rocktown 64.24 1 -13 189.00
266 Lake City 64.21 2 NEW N/A
267 State College 64.16 3 -14 215.67
268 Gainesville 59.70 3 -13 149.00
269 McLean County 59.42 1 -13 238.00
270 Grand Junction 55.69 1 NEW N/A
271 Western Australia 55.68 2 NEW N/A
272 Vienna 52.94 1 NEW 146.00
273 Renegade 52.76 4 -16 162.00
274 Greenville 50.66 6 -16 164.00
275 Pacific 50.65 1 NEW 233.00
276 Dolly Rockit 49.66 1 NEW N/A
277 Melbourne 49.45 3 -18 114.00
278 River City 49.24 3 -18 186.33
279 Chemical Valley 48.40 4 -18 196.50
280 New River 43.00 1 -18 195.00
281 Wasala 41.19 1 -18 N/A
282 Destroyer Dolls 41.19 1 NEW N/A
283 Apocalypse 41.02 2 -19 N/A
284 Ruhrpott 36.24 1 -19 N/A
285 Mississippi Valley 35.62 3 -19 142.67
286 El Paso 29.35 3 -19 172.00
287 Assassination City 28.22 3 -19 117.50
288 Spindletop 25.08 2 -19 179.50
289 Portneuf 23.82 2 -19 198.50
290 Black N Bluegrass 23.57 3 -19 145.33
291 Southern Oregon 19.87 3 -19 141.00
292 Hub City 13.53 1 -19 175.00

Updated DerbyMath Rankings – Sweden Attacks Again and D2 #10 Seed Mayhem

Welcome back again DerbyMath fans.  It was a crazy weekend and for the 2nd weekend in a row it was a team from Sweden making the big moves.  I have promised a new feature and it will be here this week, just not yet tonight.  You will notice a new column in the rankings below, Average Opponent Rank, and it will work just as it sounds.  It will show the average (released) WFTDA rank of a teams’ opponents thru the year.  Unfortunately I didn’t get all the formulas and coding done for tonight so check back later this week for it to be added.

Now, on to the rankings tonight.  As you can see below, Stockholm jumped up 9 spots and is now in position to be a #4 seed.  We also saw Windy City drop down to a #6 seed and if playoffs were today they would be matching up with possibly Philly or Minnesota in the first round.  Its crazy how much things can change in a year.  There were a few other D1 changes, but the last one of note was Tri-City dropping to #41 and Sacred City moving up to #40.  These teams are well within the Score margin of error (I’m estimating a flex of 4-6 points max depending on when teams played in playoffs last year) and it could easily swing either way.

The big D2 story is No Coast moving up to #59 (#9 Seed) and into what I consider a safe spot to make it to Playoffs.  The #10 seeds though are really up for grabs.  Brewcity and Brandywine seem to have the inside track, but they are not outside of the margin of error in the rankings (4-6 points) and we could see Calgary, Bear City, Ann Arbor or Sin City sneak in there as well.  I wish I could be more sure of those rankings, but its just that close and should tell teams you cant take one single bout off and every point matters.

There is one final team I want to discuss as I have them currently as a #7 Seed, its Sun State.  They had a great trip earlier in the year but then recently played some bouts back home against teams that were not yet ranked.  The issue is I dont know what bout weights are going to be given to those and it really could impact their rankings a lot.  I feel they are safe to be D1, but they could be anywhere from a #5 to #9 seed.  We will just have to wait and see.

Rank Team Score # of Bouts Change from last rankings Average Opponent Rank
Current D1 #1 Seeds
1 Gotham 810.97 12 0 11.25
2 Rose City 710.57 13 0 10.85
3 Victoria 647.62 9 0 9.56
4 London 618.24 12 0 11.67
Current D1 #2 Seeds
5 Bay Area 608.81 13 0 13.31
6 Texas 595.15 13 0 12.00
7 Denver 585.21 16 0 12.38
8 Jacksonville 551.60 13 0 27.62
Current D1 #3 Seeds
9 Angel City 550.43 14 0 13.79
10 Arch Rival 535.89 16 0 26.73
11 Philly 530.17 11 0 9.45
12 Minnesota 511.13 15 0 12.73
Current D1 #4 Seeds
13 Atlanta 488.12 14 0 12.71
14 Rocky Mtn 465.86 15 0 11.87
15 Rat City 449.76 11 0 18.64
16 Stockholm 444.69 6 9 36.50
Current D1 #5 Seeds
17 Montreal 433.41 16 2 30.19
18 Tampa 420.08 14 -2 30.64
19 Charm City 410.42 13 1 22.85
20 Detroit 404.48 20 -2 41.65
Current D1 #6 Seeds
21 Windy City 403.14 14 -4 16.50
22 Team United 395.59 4 -1 39.75
23 Boston 383.52 15 -1 27.40
24 Dallas 375.61 12 -1 47.75
Current D1 #7 Seeds
25 Helsinki 374.88 9 4 36.67
26 Glasgow 370.69 3 -2 59.67
27 Sun State 360.55 5 -1 93.67
28 Terminal City 360.03 14 -1 27.50
Current D1 #8 Seeds
29 Steel City 356.46 18 -1 34.94
30 Crime City 346.72 5 0 79.75
31 Arizona 340.80 17 0 31.47
32 Queen City 336.53 11 0 51.64
Current D1 #9 Seeds
33 Toronto 334.28 15 0 29.53
34 Ohio 331.65 21 3 38.14
35 Madison 330.12 11 -1 23.91
36 Pikes Peak 329.32 6 -1 80.50
Current D1 #10 Seeds
37 Oly 327.44 3 -1 74.00
38 No Coast 325.24 12 1 32.64
39 Charlottesville 323.12 10 -1 71.90
40 Sacred City 314.88 11 1 65.91
Current D2 #1 & #2 Seeds
41 Tri-City 312.99 14 -1 48.79
42 Rideau Valley 310.56 14 0 51.64
43 Emerald City 310.54 9 0 91.11
44 Columbia 310.09 10 0 44.70
Current D2 #3 & #4 Seeds
45 Kansas City 307.71 14 0 37.79
46 Santa Cruz 307.31 11 0 30.27
47 Nashville 301.07 17 0 40.47
48 Chicago Outfit 299.68 18 6 54.39
Current D2 #5 & #6 Seeds
49 Treasure Valley 297.60 15 1 63.80
50 Demolition City 297.22 13 -1 41.15
51 Naptown 294.40 15 -3 32.53
52 Wasatch 292.65 11 -1 31.73
Current D2 #7 & #8 Seeds
53 Houston 290.32 19 -1 44.00
54 Sac City 289.45 9 1 75.44
55 St. Chux 289.28 12 -2 46.92
56 Boulder County 287.81 10 0 68.30
Current D2 #9 & #10 Seeds
57 Jet City 280.13 7 0 40.00
59 OK Victory 276.15 10 5 46.50
60 Brewcity 271.41 19 -1 55.84
61 Brandywine 270.99 14 -1 61.50
Outside Looking In
62 Calgary 265.85 14 -1 63.14
63 Bear City 265.39 13 1 54.85
64 Ann Arbor 265.13 18 -2 90.44
65 Sin City 264.88 11 2 57.45
66 Tucson 255.67 9 -1 69.22
67 Roc City 248.42 7 1 58.86
68 Cincinnati 237.58 11 7 68.09
69 Blue Ridge 235.10 12 0 53.92
70 Burning River 234.59 11 0 102.64
71 Des Moines 233.18 2 0 92.50
72 Ft. Wayne 230.34 11 0 57.09
73 Auld Reekie 230.00 4 -7 72.50
74 North Star 229.62 13 -1 76.46
75 Green Mt 228.68 12 -1 68.09
76 Carolina 226.43 12 0 84.91
77 Omaha 223.93 10 0 65.60
78 Paradise City 223.93 4 18 26.50
79 DC 219.78 17 1 63.76
80 Ithaca 219.41 9 -2 80.00
81 Grand Raggidy 218.52 15 0 72.00
82 Old Capitol 216.45 12 -3 62.82
83 Maine 215.81 4 7 74.00
84 Killamazoo 211.32 18 -1 58.06
85 Pirate City 211.01 3 -1 94.33
86 Suburbia 210.63 15 -1 65.13
87 Big Easy 210.24 10 -5 57.40
88 Sioux City 207.54 5 -1 117.40
89 Twin City 198.89 14 3 76.38
90 Tiger Bay 195.10 5 -2 77.20
91 Providence 193.33 9 4 74.56
92 Memphis 192.16 3 -1 120.67
93 NW Arkansas 190.75 7 -4 68.13
94 Muddy River 185.58 7 7 130.80
95 Ft. Myers 185.41 11 9 91.30
96 Diamond Divas 184.98 5 -3 138.75
97 Charlotte 184.48 10 -3 83.90
98 Fargo 181.95 7 -12 136.00
99 Rage City 178.97 9 13 130.57
100 Garden State 178.31 6 8 92.17